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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?
55%
chance
Yes
No
$3.58M
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
58 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
42%
September Meeting
36%
3 more
$795K
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
62 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
75%
Other
23%
7 more
$320K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
49 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
63%
Other
28%
7 more
$109K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
58 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
71%
25 bps decrease
14%
3 more
$190K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
46 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause
51%
Other
39%
7 more
$216K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
44 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
50%
1 (25 bps)
30%
4 more
$21K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
39 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$317K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
56%
Yes
No
1
24%
Yes
No
$9.5K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
48 trading now
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